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your predictions

March 16th, 2009

As is tradition, the form is now open for your predictions.  My predictions are recorded and stowed away, and will be revealed on Wednesday with everyone else’s.  It was incredibly hard this year; I have confidence in a few positions, but mostly I had a hard time.

Predicting the winner is a bit of a tradition for the DSU Elections.  Of course, simply predicting the winner isn’t enough – you need to call the point spread, as well.  If you really can’t be bothered calling a point spread, just enter “100″ for the candidate you think will win and “0″ for the others.

For the presidential race, the numbers are for the FIRST BALLOT.  If you think the winner will be different than the winner of the first ballot (as I do), don’t worry about it – you get that one for free.

All of the numbers exclude spoiled ballots, except voter turnout where the concept doesn’t really apply.

Senate, VP SL, and the Referendum aren’t included, because that’s just boring (actually, I think the referendum is going to be close and might even fail, but I had to set some priorities regarding what I chose to care about).

Predictions will be posted here Wednesday, so get yours in before 6pm that day.

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  1. Stewart Rand
    March 16th, 2009 at 22:51 | #1
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  2. Stewart Rand
    March 16th, 2009 at 22:53 | #2
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    Why do you think the referendum will fail? Ignorance is the only reason I can think of. I’ve yet to hear any real argument against it.

  3. Mike Smit
    March 16th, 2009 at 23:08 | #3
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    @Stewart Rand

    Nothing a quick edit of php.ini to prevent it from reporting problems won’t solve. :D

    I think the referendum might fail because students are historically loathe to spend money. I’ve seen a Gazette referendum and a DalOUT referendum fail, and from what I could tell it came down to “why would we spend money to get something we already have and don’t use / don’t like / won’t benefit from?”. That same circumstance could very well apply here.

    I’m assuming there has been campaigning, but the prevailing opinion appears to be “well, of course it will pass”, and I doubt these things.

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